House of Mirrors

By Greg Scandlen

So, you think the debate over ObamaCare was frustrating? You ain’t seen nothing yet.

Just as Massachusetts provided a preview of that debate, it is also debuting the coming argument over cost control. An article by Amy Goldstein in the Washington Post  tells us exactly how it will play out.  The internal contradictions are mind-boggling.

She begins by explaining that,

Massachusetts Gov. Deval L. Patrick (D) is trying to “shove,” as he put it, the health-care system here into a new era of cost control.

Yes, “shove,” — kind of like Obama shoved us into his version of Wonderland.

She explains,

The governor’s proposal builds on a surprising consensus among leaders from the state’s insurance and hospital industries, medical society, legislature and governor’s staff who served on a special state commission assigned to diagnose the culprit behind the soaring medical spending. Fee-for-service medicine “is a primary contributor to escalating costs and pervasive problems of uneven quality,” the commission unanimously concluded in 2009.

This, even though it is patently untrue.  Fee-for-service does not drive inflation in health care – or in any other sector of the economy. What drives inflation in health care is the one thing that makes it different from any other sector – third-party payment. Of course, all of those “consensus makers” benefit enormously from third-party payment, so they aren’t about to kill this golden-egg laying goose.

The article also disavows any responsibility the state may have for the unique cost increases in Massachusetts.  It says,

The spending per person on health care is 15 percent higher than the national average — even taking into account the comparatively high wages here and outsize role of medical research and training. The move to near-universal coverage, state figures show, accounts for a sliver of recent increases in insurance premiums, which have soared above inflation. The main reason has been a rapid escalation in prices.

The state is saying, “Don’t blame us, it is the ‘rapid escalation in prices’ that is to blame, not the universal health program.” But why is Massachusetts having a “rapid escalation in prices” that no other state is seeing? Golly. It’s a mystery!

What to do, what to do? I know! We will pay doctors more for doing less!! INSPIRATION! Blue Cross has already begun —

The arrangement is a version of the accountable care organizations that the federal government also is trying to encourage in Medicare. They pay teams of doctors or hospitals a lump sum or what is called a “global budget” for the patients assigned to them. If a team can provide care for less, it keeps some of the savings, assuming it also meets enough of 64 measures of quality that Blue Cross has defined. Today, about one-third of the primary care doctors in Blue Cross’s network are taking part. A half-million HMO patients have been put in them — but not told by the insurer.

The article goes on to say the arrangement is “voluntary,” but voluntary for whom? Apparently not the half-million people who have “been put into them” and not told about it. Is this part of the “shoving” the Governor was so proud of?

Another part of the shoving were the arbitrary denials of insurance rate increases the Governor directed the insurance commissioner to make. The article reports the commissioner rejected 235 of 274 proposed rate increases last year.  Not because costs weren’t going up. The article already said they are. But for crass political reasons, dictated by the Governor who was up for re-election.  What a swell way to run a health care system!

But the article also contains the seed of what a real solution could be. Ms. Goldstein writes:

Attorney General Martha Coakley used new subpoena power to produce a report laying out large disparities in hospitals’ prices and concluding that they are unrelated to the quality of their care, the sickness of their patients or whether the institution is a teaching hospital.

Well, golly, again. If there is a wide variety of hospital prices unrelated to the quality of the care provided, is it possible – just possible – that consumers spending their own money might be able to shop around for the best deal and thereby punish those hospitals that overcharge and reward the ones that provide value?

And is it possible – just possible – that what gets in the way of that is not “fee-for-service” but third-party payment?

Can anyone say – YOU BETCHA!?

Advertisements

Docs in a Skinner Box

By Jane Orient, MD, Association of American Physicians and Surgeons

Behavior modification for physicians, as through pay for performance (“P4P”), is a central feature of “healthcare reform.”

The P4P idea, while now becoming explicit for physicians, is actually pervasive in society. “Do this, and you’ll get that” is the core of pop behaviorism, writes Alfie Kohn in his 1993 book Punished by Rewards. American managers are fundamentalists in their adherence to the Skinnerian model of motivation, he states.

When an influential idea is so widely shared that we no longer even notice it, it is time to fear its hold on us. Quoting Arthur Koestler’s The Act of Creation, Kohn notes:  “For the anthropomorphic view of the rat, American psychology substituted a rattomorphic view of man.”

CMS Director Donald Berwick, M. D., a great admirer of the Japanese industrial model and its potential for standardizing physician behavior, is apparently not aware of the conclusion of W. Edwards Deming, who was sent to Japan to study that model.

“Pay is not a motivator,” says Deming. And the system for appraising and rewarding merit “is the most powerful inhibitor to quality and productivity in the Western world.”  He adds that it “nourishes short-term performance, annihilates long-term planning, builds fear, demolishes teamwork, nourishes rivalry, and…leaves people bitter.” Kohn notes that it is also simply unfair when it holds people responsible for factors beyond their control. One variation on the behaviorist theme that practically guarantees enmity is the collective (“shared”) reward. Since one troublemaker can spoil it for all, it calls forth a particularly noxious form of peer pressure. “This gambit is one of the most transparently manipulative strategies used by people in power.”

P4P, in Kohn’s view, is “an inherently flawed concept.”

Nevertheless, the current Administration has launched “one of the most ambitious behaviorist-style policy projects in American political history,” writes Christine Rosen (“Now Behave,” Commentary, July/August 2010). Regulation czar Cass Sunstein is a member of the behavioral brain trust that intends to bring about profound changes through specifications and regulations.

Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs)

The main difference between ACOs and HMOs is size—5,000 enrollees versus hundreds of thousands, writes Kip Sullivan for Physicians for a National Health Program California. Accountability for cost will be achieved by shifting insurance risk to providers, who are required to achieve “measured quality improvements.” The “defined population,” derived from fee-for-service Medicare recipients, apparently is assigned by the HHS Secretary, based on rules about who provides the majority of the patient’s primary care. Each primary practitioner is supposed to be part of only one ACO (NEJM 10/7/10). A booming industry has arisen to advise on ACO formation, even though the rules and information infrastructure still do not exist.

One problem to be ironed out is how to get around antitrust law, anti-kickback law, and restrictions on physician self-referral.

In an ACO, doctors are “double agents playing the dual role of caregiver and insurance underwriter,” writes Robert Geist, M.D. “ACOs are gatekeeping organizations to serve the purposes of ‘payers’…under the guise of the grander purposes of ‘society.’”

The AMA Board has apparently decided to do everything it can to promote ACOs, writes David McKalip, M.D. AMA president Cecil Wilson, M.D., told the House of Delegates that he would work to get small practices networked into ACOs—and didn’t seem to think that there is any role for any doctor to ever work outside an ACO. P4P is a mandatory and integral part of ACO implementation, Dr. McKalip adds. Yet AMA leaders continue to ignore the directive to actively oppose P4P programs that are not compliant with AMA principles.

For hospitals, ACOs offer another opportunity to garner money and power in the developing feudal medical system. “Global” payments for “episodes of care”—perhaps lasting 6 to 12 months—will guarantee skimping on payment to the serfs for the care of sick livestock, writes Lawrence Huntoon, M.D., Ph.D. Companies that specialize in investigating “disruptive” physicians seem to be springing up everywhere, he notes. One found 8 “independent” physician members of the medical executive committee guilty of being “intimidating.”

Docs out of the Box

In George Orwell’s novel Animal Farm,  the initial success of the socialist experiment depended heavily on the efforts of the loyal, strong horse Boxer, who responded to every setback with the resolve to work a little harder, and who had unquestioning faith in Napoleon, the leading pig. What will happen if Boxer retires early, or defies Napoleon—or if doctors decide to stop pushing the little lever to get their reward of a food pellet?

Of physicians responding to a 2010 Physicians Foundation survey, 40% said they would drop out of patient care within the next 3 years. About 60% said “reform” would compel them to close or significantly restrict their practice to certain patients. While more than half thought that patient volume would increase, 69% said they did not have the time or resources to see more patients while maintaining quality. About 16% said they planned to switch to a cash-based on concierge practice.

“Reinforcement” is a negative for excellence, even when cast in the form of an incentive rather than a punishment.